Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Forests may reduce not only small floods but also the probability of major ones, according to a new study challenging ...

Discover how Monte Carlo analysis helps investors assess risk and make informed decisions. Explore its role in generating ...

A multifractal spectrum called a weighted Cantor set model can describe how galaxies cluster, which is similar to other ...

A new study has demonstrated how networks of spiking nanolasers could emulate a key principle of brain function: to imagine ...

A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly ...

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of February 6, 2026.

Self-generated skills don't do much for AI agents, study finds, but human-curated skills do Teach an AI agent how to fish for ...

Putting humans and LLMs head-to-head in classic tests of judgment from human psychology underscores the differences between ...

Provided content. One ball on a Plinko board is unpredictable. Drop a thousand and they form a near-perfect bell curve—one of math’s most powerful ideas for 150+ years.

They look to also be better than prediction markets. Analysis by Good Judgment, the organisation that pioneered superforecasting, has run the numbers and found that they have outperformed on average ...

Federal Reserve reveals that prediction market data from Kalshi could improve how policymakers gauge macroeconomic expectations in real time.